Coronavirus: UK confirms new cases and deaths
Daily coronavirus cases are above 1,000 AGAIN: UK diagnoses 1,009 more people with Covid-19 and confirms 77 further deaths from the diseaseNew daily cases in the UK is higher than 1,000 for third time
Daily coronavirus cases are above 1,000 AGAIN: UK diagnoses 1,009 more people with Covid-19 and confirms 77 further deaths from the disease
- New daily cases in the UK is higher than 1,000 for third time in four days
More than 1,000 people were today diagnosed with the coronavirus in the UK, marking the third occasion in the past four days.
The Department of Health today confirmed another 1,009 people have caught the disease. And 77 more people have died of it across the UK.
Today marks the 27th day in a row that Scotland has recorded zero new fatalities. Northern Ireland also reported none in the last 24 hours.
It comes after the UK recorded its highest number of new coronavirus cases in seven weeks yesterday, with 1,148 infections in a single 24-hour period.
The Government's Joint Biosecurity Centre, which has taken a more prominent role in co-ordinating the Covid response after a series of failings by Public Health England, says cases need to be below 1,000 a day to avoid 'flare-ups'.
In recent days thousands of Britons have flocked to beaches and parks to cool off during the sweltering heat, making social distancing largely impossible.
It comes after a study published last night threw into question whether a lockdown in the UK actually helped curb the virus' spread.
Antibody testing - which reveal if someone has previously been infected - show around one in six people in both cities caught the virus during the crisis.
Public Health England surveillance studies estimate that 17.5 per cent of Londoners had caught the virus by late June, based on testing 1,000 people a week.
And a similar Government programme in Sweden showed that 17 per cent of citydwellers in its capital had been infected by the same time period.
The UK and Sweden tackled the coronavirus epidemic very differently, with Boris Johnson ordering everyone to stay at home and shutting all but essential shops on March 24 for more than three months.
Sweden has a death rate of 564 people per million population, which is still better than the UK's 707 per million. Although both epidemics have followed a similar trajectory
Two British experts who compiled the research drew on official antibody testing data from around the world. London and Stockholm had the most amount of positive results, other than New York City
Public Health England surveillance studies estimate that 17.5 per cent of people in London had caught the virus by late June, based on testing 1,000 people a week
Sweden, on the other hand, only introduced a handful of restrictions, including banning mass gatherings and encouraging people to work and study from home.
The British experts who compiled the research said the finding throws into question whether the the economically-crippling lockdown actually worked in London.
Writing in the study, published in the Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine, the researchers say the restrictions in the English capital came too late.
The authors, retired consultant neurologist David Goldsmith and Eric Orlowski, a behavioural scientists from University College London, said: 'Lest this strategy seem like just the traditional risky Swedish exceptionalism, we in the UK would do well to remember we nearly trod the same path.
'Right now, despite "strict (but tardy) lockdown" in the UK, and the more measured Swedish response, both countries have high seven-day averaged SARS-CoV-2 death rates when compared to other Scandinavian and European countries.
'Only once we can fully understand both the pandemic and the impact of the measures that were taken - after 1-2 years at least - can we then begin fairly to judge what was done correctly.'
Much attention has been drawn to Sweden, for its controversial decision not to enforce a lockdown.
At its peak, the country recorded only around 100 daily deaths, and as of July, this number had fallen into single figures, suggesting the virus is under control.
But UK scientists say this approach may not have proved so successful in the UK.
Firstly, half of Swedish households are single-person, compared to just 15 per cent of the UK.
Keith Neal, emeritus professor of epidemiology at the University of Nottingham, said: 'If you go to work and catch Covid-19, and you live with a partner, you've got someone to infect.
'In 50 per cent of Swedish households that wasn't a possibility – and household transmission is the key risk, we now know.
'Sweden, per head of population, is a much wealthier country than the UK, and deprivation has been a leading driver for serious Covid illness here.'
Still, Sweden has not escaped unscathed. It has so far recorded more than 5,700 Covid-19 deaths – giving it one of the highest rates in Europe, taking into account the size of the population.
The Scandinavian nation has a death rate of 564 people per million population, which is still better than the UK's 707 per million.
Its neighbours Norway and Finland, which did introduce lockdowns, have had more than 250 and 300 deaths respectively.
Professor Paul Hunter, an epidemiologist at the University of East Anglia, says it's also a 'myth' that Sweden did not lockdown at all.
Mass gatherings were banned, people were encouraged to work from home and older secondary students and university students were taught remotely.
Much of the school system did remain open – but mounting evidence suggests school closures had at best a minimal impact on reducing infection rates, including in Britain, as children are less likely to catch or spread the virus.
Separate modelling has suggested that the UK's epidemic was already peaknig before Boris Johnson introduced unprecedented curbs on March 24.
It has led some scientists to believe that banning large gatherings and telling people to keep two metres apart would have been sufficient to keep the virus under control.
Professor Simon Wood, a mathematician at Bristol University, said a growing body of data that indicates the average Covid-19 victim dies 23 days after being infected.
The darkest days in the UK's outbreak were on April 8 and 9, when more than 2,000 people passed away from the virus, official figures show.
Professor Simon Wood believes most of these patients were infected between March 18 and 19 - 23 days earlier - and five days before the country locked down.
He claims that social distnacing measures alone would have squashed the UK's epidemic.
On March 16, the UK Government launched a public information campaign urging people to wash their hands and keep two metres (6'6') away from others.
Many Britons were already working from home, shops, restaurants and gyms were closing and large public gatherings had been banned.
He said it was difficult to be certain when infections peaked in Britain because widespread testing was abandoned in mid-March.